Open Access

In view of the rapid growth of solar power installations worldwide, accurate forecasts of photovoltaic (PV) power generation are becoming increasingly indispensable for the overall stability of the electricity grid. In the context of household energy storage systems, PV power forecasts contribute towards intelligent energy management and control of PV-battery systems, in particular so that self-sufficiency and battery lifetime are maximised. Typical battery control algorithms require day-ahead forecasts of PV power generation, and in most cases a combination of statistical methods and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are employed. The latter are however often inaccurate, both due to deficiencies in model physics as well as an insufficient description of irradiance variability.

Im Interview mit Florian Kluge und Daniel Lohmann geht es um Interventionen als Teil einer Phase Null. Die beiden Architekturprofessoren der Alanus-Hochschule in Alfter und der TH Köln sehen die Intervention als Schnittstelle zwischen Architektur und Gesellschaft.

The clear-sky radiative effect of aerosol-radiation interactions is of relevance for our understanding of the climate system. The influence of aerosol on the surface energy budget is of high interest for the renewable energy sector. In this study, the radiative effect is investigated in particular with respect to seasonal and regional variations for the region of Germany and the year 2015 at the surface and top of atmosphere using two complementary approaches. First, an ensemble of clear-sky models which explicitly consider aerosols is utilized to retrieve the aerosol optical depth and the surface direct radiative effect of aerosols by means of a clear sky fitting technique. For this, short-wave broadband irradiance measurements in the absence of clouds are used as a basis. A clear sky detection algorithm is used to identify cloud free observations. Considered are measurements of the shortwave broadband global and diffuse horizontal irradiance with shaded and unshaded pyranometers at 25 stations across Germany within the observational network of the German Weather Service (DWD). Clear sky models used are MMAC, MRMv6.1, METSTAT, ESRA, Heliosat-1, CEM and the simplified Solis model. The definition of aerosol and atmospheric characteristics of the models are examined in detail for their suitability for this approach. Second, the radiative effect is estimated using explicit radiative transfer simulations with inputs on the meteorological state of the atmosphere, trace-gases and aerosol from CAMS reanalysis. The aerosol optical properties (aerosol optical depth, Ångström exponent, single scattering albedo and assymetrie parameter) are first evaluated with AERONET direct sun and inversion products. The largest inconsistency is found for the aerosol absorption, which is overestimated by about 0.03 or about 30 % by the CAMS reanalysis. Compared to the DWD observational network, the simulated global, direct and diffuse irradiances show reasonable agreement within the measurement uncertainty. The radiative kernel method is used to estimate the resulting uncertainty and bias of the simulated direct radiative effect. The uncertainty is estimated to −1.5 ± 7.7 and 0.6 ± 3.5 W m−2 at the surface and top of atmosphere, respectively, while the annual-mean biases at the surface, top of atmosphere and total atmosphere are −10.6, −6.5 and 4.1 W m−2, respectively. The retrieval of the aerosol radiative effect with the clear sky models shows a high level of agreement with the radiative transfer simulations, with an RMSE of 5.8 W m−2 and a correlation of 0.75. The annual mean of the REari at the surface for the 25 DWD stations shows a value of −12.8 ± 5 W m−2 as average over the clear sky models, compared to −11 W m−2 from the radiative transfer simulations. Since all models assume a fixed aerosol characterisation, the annual cycle of the aerosol radiation effect cannot be reproduced. Out of this set of clear sky models, the largest level of agreement is shown by the ESRA and MRMv6.1 models.

Im letzten Vortrag vor seinem plötzlichen Tod im Jahr 2018 gelang es Eric McLuhan, Sohn Marshall McLuhans, auf eindrückliche Weise sowohl die Positionen als auch Perspektiven einer bereits mehrere Jahrzehnte umfassenden interdisziplinären und internationalen Media Ecology miteinander zu verknüpfen. Dieses Forschungsfeld thematisiert Medien nicht primär in einer eher traditionellen beziehungsweise konservativen Funktion als Vermittler von Informationen, sondern fokussiert bewusst die materielle und technologische Anwesenheit und Form von Medien innerhalb einer Kultur und betrachtet deren Einfluss auf Psyche und Verhalten von Individuen innerhalb mediatisierter Gesellschaften. Der Band möchte einen Raum schaffen für die Fortschreibung des McLuhan’schen Denkens im Kontext einer (post-)modernen Media Ecology. Inhaltlich flankiert wird Eric McLuhans hier erstmals im deutschsprachigen Diskurs publizierter Vortrag durch Beiträge von Oliver Ruf und Tobias Held sowie durch ein von Lars C. Grabbe geführtes Interview mit Eric McLuhans Sohn Andrew McLuhan. (Verlagsangaben)